The Summer North Atlantic Oscillation in Cmip 3 Models and Related Uncertainties in Projected Summer Drying in Europe

  title={The Summer North Atlantic Oscillation in Cmip 3 Models and Related Uncertainties in Projected Summer Drying in Europe},
  author={Ileana Blad{\'e} and Didac Fortuny and Geert Jan van Oldenborgh and Brant Liebmann},
[1] This paper discusses uncertainties in model projections of summer drying in the Euro-Mediterranean region related to errors and uncertainties in the simulation of the summer NAO (SNAO). The SNAO is the leading mode of summer SLP variability in the North Atlantic/European sector and modulates precipitation not only in the vicinity of the SLP dipole (northwest Europe) but also in the Mediterranean region. An analysis of CMIP3 models is conducted to determine the extent to which models… CONTINUE READING


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