The Novel Coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated

@article{Sanche2020TheNC,
  title={The Novel Coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated},
  author={Steven Sanche and Yen Ting Lin and Chonggang Xu and Ethan Obie Romero-Severson and Nicolas W. Hengartner and Ruian Ke},
  journal={arXiv: Populations and Evolution},
  year={2020}
}
  • Steven Sanche, Yen Ting Lin, +3 authors Ruian Ke
  • Published in medRxiv 2020
  • Medicine, Biology
  • arXiv: Populations and Evolution
  • The novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) is a recently emerged human pathogen that has spread widely since January 2020. Initially, the basic reproductive number, R0, was estimated to be 2.2 to 2.7. Here we provide a new estimate of this quantity. We collected extensive individual case reports and estimated key epidemiology parameters, including the incubation period. Integrating these estimates and high-resolution real-time human travel and infection data with mathematical models, we estimated that… CONTINUE READING

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