The North Atlantic Oscillation and regional phenology prediction over Europe

  title={The North Atlantic Oscillation and regional phenology prediction over Europe},
  author={E MICHA and N LEMAN},
  • M I C H A E, L E M A N N
  • Published 2005
We present an integrated modeling study designed to investigate changes in ecosystem level phenology over Europe associated with changes in climate pattern, by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). We derived onset dates from processed NDVI data sets and used growing degree day (GDD) summations from the NCEP re-analysis to calibrate and validate a phenology model to predict the onset of the growing season over Europe. In a cross-validation hindcast, the model (PHENOM) is able to explain 63% of… CONTINUE READING


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