The Monty Hall Dilemma Donald Granberg

@article{Brown1995TheMH,
  title={The Monty Hall Dilemma Donald Granberg},
  author={Thad A. Brown},
  journal={Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin},
  year={1995},
  volume={21},
  pages={711 - 723}
}
  • Thad A. Brown
  • Published 1 July 1995
  • Psychology
  • Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin
The Monty Hall Dilemma (MHD) uses two-stage decisions with a host, guest, and a prize behind one of three doors. After the guest makes a choice, the host reveals another door as incorrect. The dilemma is whether to stick with the initial hunch or switch to the remaining alternative. The correct but counterintuitive solution is to switch. In the first encounter, only 12% switch. Across trials, switching increases to 55%. Altering the reward structure affects switching. The symmetrical… 
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75 Citations
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Background Citations
40
Methods Citations
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Results Citations
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75 Citations

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In the Monty Hall Dilemma (MHD) contestants try to choose which of three doors conceals a prize. After selecting a door, one of the other doors is opened by a host who knows where the prize is, but…
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TLDR
In the Monty Hall dilemma, humans are initially given a choice among three alternatives, one of which has a hidden prize, and subjects are shown that one of the remaining alternatives does not have the prize and asked to stay with their original choice or switch to the remaining alternative.
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Testing the limits of optimality: the effect of base rates in the Monty Hall dilemma
TLDR
Pigeons and humans were tested on two variants of the Monty Hall dilemma, and an analysis of performance over the course of training indicated that pigeons learned to perform a sequence of responses on each trial, and that sequence was one that yielded the highest possible rate of reinforcement.
Pigeons, Humans, and the Monty Hall Dilemma
The Monty Hall Dilemma is a probability puzzle that is notorious for eliciting suboptimal decisions from humans. A participant is given a choice from among three doors, one of which conceals a…
Smarter and Richer?: Executive Processing and the Monty Hall Dilemma
Smarter and Richer?: Executive Processing and the Monty Hall Dilemma Wim De Neys (Wim.Deneys@psy.kuleuven.ac.be) Department of Psychology, K.U.Leuven, Tiensestraat 102 B-3000 Leuven, Belgium…
Reasoning and choice in the Monty Hall Dilemma (MHD): implications for improving Bayesian reasoning
TLDR
It is concluded that repeated practice and/or high incentives can be effective for overcoming choice biases, but promoting an adequate partitioning of possibilities seems to be necessary for overcoming cognitive illusions and improving Bayesian reasoning.
A randomised Monty Hall experiment: The positive effect of conditional frequency feedback
The Monty Hall dilemma (MHD) is a notorious probability problem with a counterintuitive solution. There is a strong tendency to stay with the initial choice, despite the fact that switching doubles…
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