The Limits of Consensus

  title={The Limits of Consensus},
  author={Michael Oppenheimer and Brian C. O’Neill and Mort Webster and Shardul Agrawala},
  pages={1505 - 1506}
The establishment of consensus by the IPCC is no longer as critical to governments as a full exploration of uncertainty. 

The challenges of building cosmopolitan climate expertise: the case of Germany

By generating intense public scrutiny of international climate science, the ‘climategate’ controversy has paradoxically underlined the authoritative status accorded to scientific knowledge in policy

What's next for the IPCC?

Now that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has spoken more clearly than ever — and policymakers are listening — it may be time to take a new direction. Amanda Leigh Haag reports on

The Power of Scientific Knowledge: From Research to Public Policy

Preface 1. Introduction 2. The savior of capitalism: the power of economic discourse 3. The mentors of the Holocaust and the power of race science 4. Protectors of nature: the power of climate change

Reasoning about climate uncertainty

This paper argues that the IPCC has oversimplified the issue of uncertainty in its Assessment Reports, which can lead to misleading overconfidence. A concerted effort by the IPCC is needed to

Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate

All rights reserved, including the right to reproduce this book or portions thereof in any form. Opinions expressed are solely those of the authors.


It is shown that the model-building process has the power to promote and nurture links across disciplines, something so self-service-like that it clearly transcend the confines of study in any single EO.

Scientific dissent and public policy

The temptation to silence dissenters whose non-mainstream views negatively affect public policies is powerful. However, silencing dissent, no matter how scientifically unsound it might be, can cause

Evaluation, characterization, and communication of uncertainty by the intergovernmental panel on climate change—an introductory essay

Since its inception in 1988, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has worked with the growing recognition that uncertainty is pervasive in our understanding of the climate system:

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) conducts policy-relevant but not policy-prescriptive assessments of climate science. In this review, we engage with some of the key design



Structural and Process History of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

In the nine years since its establishment in 1988, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has attempted to walk the tightrope of being scientifically sound and politically acceptable.

The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change

Policy-makers and the public who are not members of the relevant research community have had to form opinions about the reality of global climate change on the basis of often conflicting descriptions

Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis

This chapter discusses the nature and sources of uncertainty, human judgement about and with uncertainty, and the value of knowing how little you know Index.

Risk Estimation of Collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Complete collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) would raise global sea level by around 5 m, but whether collapse is likely, or even possible, has been `glaciology's grand unsolved problem'

Soil Warming and Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks to the Climate System

In a decade-long soil warming experiment in a mid-latitude hardwood forest, we documented changes in soil carbon and nitrogen cycling in order to investigate the consequences of these changes for the