The Future of OA: A large-scale analysis projecting Open Access publication and readership

@article{Piwowar2019TheFO,
  title={The Future of OA: A large-scale analysis projecting Open Access publication and readership},
  author={Heather A. Piwowar and Jason Priem and Richard Orr},
  journal={bioRxiv},
  year={2019}
}
Understanding the growth of open access (OA) is important for deciding funder policy, subscription allocation, and infrastructure planning. This study analyses the number of papers available as OA over time. The models includes both OA embargo data and the relative growth rates of different OA types over time, based on the OA status of 70 million journal articles published between 1950 and 2019. The study also looks at article usage data, analyzing the proportion of views to OA articles vs… 

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