The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications

@inproceedings{Moore1975TheDM,
  title={The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications},
  author={P. G. Moore and H. A. Lingstone and M. Turoff},
  year={1975}
}
  • P. G. Moore, H. A. Lingstone, M. Turoff
  • Published 1975
  • Computer Science
  • Cross-impact analysis is a method for revising estimated probabilities of future events in terms of estimated interactions among those events. [...] Key Method An extension also provides a necessary condition for the vector of absolute probabilities to be consistent with the relative probability matrix. An averaging technique is formulated for resolving inconsistencies in the matrix, and a nearest-point computation derived for resolving inconsistencies between the set of absolute probabilities and the matrix…Expand Abstract
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