The Decline of Activist Stabilization Policy: Natural Rate Misperceptions, Learning, and Expectations

@article{Orphanides2003TheDO,
  title={The Decline of Activist Stabilization Policy: Natural Rate Misperceptions, Learning, and Expectations},
  author={Athanasios Orphanides and John C. Williams},
  journal={Monetary Economics},
  year={2003}
}
We develop an estimated model of the U.S. economy in which agents form expectations by continually updating their beliefs regarding the behavior of the economy and monetary policy. We explore the effects of policymakers' misperceptions of the natural rate of unemployment during the late 1960s and 1970s on the formation of expectations and macroeconomic outcomes. We find that the combination of monetary policy directed at tight stabilization of unemployment near its perceived natural rate and… 
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POLICY PREFERENCES AND POLICY MAKERS' BELIEFS: THE GREAT INFLATION
  • G. Best
  • Economics
    Macroeconomic Dynamics
  • 2016
The literature has proposed two potential channels through which monetary policy played a role in the Great Inflation in the United States. One approach posits that the Federal Reserve held
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