The Consequences of Negotiated Settlements in Civil Wars, 1945–1993

  title={The Consequences of Negotiated Settlements in Civil Wars, 1945–1993},
  author={Roy E. Licklider},
  journal={American Political Science Review},
  pages={681 - 690}
  • R. Licklider
  • Published 1 September 1995
  • History, Sociology
  • American Political Science Review
We know very little about how civil wars end. Harrison Wagner has argued that negotiated settlements of civil wars are likely to break down because segments of power-sharing governments retain the capacity for resorting to civil war while victory destroys the losers' organization, making it very difficult to resume the war. An analysis of a data set of 91 post-1945 civil wars generally supports this hypothesis but only in wars over identity issues. Moreover, while military victories may be less… 

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