The Confrontation between Iraq and the US: Implications for the Theory and Practice of Deterrence

@article{Jervis2003TheCB,
  title={The Confrontation between Iraq and the US: Implications for the Theory and Practice of Deterrence},
  author={Robert L. Jervis},
  journal={European Journal of International Relations},
  year={2003},
  volume={9},
  pages={315 - 337}
}
  • R. Jervis
  • Published 1 June 2003
  • Political Science
  • European Journal of International Relations
The American confrontation with Iraq poses important questions for scholarship as well as policy, and many of these involve whether various forms of deterrence can be effective. Our theories in this area tend to be simultaneously descriptive and prescriptive, which complicates analysis of policies with which we disagree. The Bush administration's policy is driven in large measure by the belief that deterrence against a nuclear-armed Iraq would fail. This implies that Iraq could deter American… 
Threat Inflation and the Failure of the Marketplace of Ideas: The Selling of the Iraq War
such as the United States are generally believed to be better at making foreign policy than other regime types. Especially, the strong civic institutions and robust marketplaces of ideas in mature
Maintaining Effective Deterrence
Abstract : While deterrence is as old as human conflict itself, it became particularly important with the advent of nuclear weapons when armed conflict between the superpowers had the potential to
The Emerging Fourth Wave of Deterrence Theory—Toward a New Research Agenda
In this paper, I aim to review recent empirical and theoretical developments in the study of deterrence. I suggest that an emerging wave of literature currently represents a revival in this field.
Who dares wins : confidence and success in international conflict
War is a puzzle because, if states were rational, they should agree on their differences in power and reach a solution that avoids the costs of fighting. However, this thesis argues that states are
The Fourth Wave in Deterrence Research
Following the end of the Cold War and accelerating after 9/11, a new wave of research on deterrence has emerged. Building on an earlier characterization by Robert Jervis, this work is here designated
Successful and Failed Screening Mechanisms in the Two Gulf Wars
The article addresses the question of how status-quo states can identify revisionist threats. After recasting the question within the collective security and social learning literatures, the article
The War against Iraq and International Order: From Bull to Bush1
This essay has two goals: (1) to examine US foreign policy leading to the war in Iraq through the lens of [Bull's (1977)][1] classic book, The Anarchical Society , and (2) to explore in a unipolar,
Why do they want American Nukes? Central and Eastern European positions regarding US nonstrategic nuclear weapons
This article analyses the potential motivations behind the opposition of a number of Central and Eastern European States (CESs) to the withdrawal of US deployed nonstrategic nuclear weapons (NSNWs)
Deterring Nuclear Proliferation: Polarity, Credibility, and Preventive War ∗
Since the end of the Cold War, surprisingly few countries have attempted to obtain nuclear weapons. Still, nuclear proliferation has become a focal concern of U.S. foreign-policymakers. Under what
The Evolution of International Security Studies
International Security Studies (ISS) has changed and diversified in many ways since 1945. This book provides the first intellectual history of the development of the subject in that period. It
...
1
2
3
4
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 78 REFERENCES
Iraq's decisions to go to war, 1980 and 1990
The driving force behind Saddam Husayn's decisions to go to war in 1980 and 1990 was his belief that foreign forces were working to destabilize the Ba `th Party regime in Iraq. Saddam believed that
Declining Power and the Preventive Motivation for War
The preventive motivation for war arises from political leaders' perceptions that their states' military power and potential are declining relative to those of a rising adversary, and from their fear
With Friends Like These: Reagan, Bush, and Saddam 1982-1990
"The enemy of my enemy", as the age-old axiom goes, "is my friend". Such was the reasoning behind US strategy when the Reagan administration first tilted towards Iraq during the Iran-Iraq war, and
Domestic Structure and Preventive War: Are Democracies More Pacific?
Realists have long viewed uneven rates of growth among states as a major cause of wars. According to strict logic of realpolitik, a declining dominant power should launch a preventive war against a
Conventional deterrence
Studies of conventional deterrence, although differing in methodology and underlying assumptions, have yielded three key findings: Many potential adversaries are, at least at times, undeterrable; in
Suicide From Fear of Death
WITH WAR in the Middle East imminent, it is clear that the United States has painted itself-as well as Iraq-into a corner. The Bush administration's success in engineering international support for a
Perspectives on Deterrence.
This book examines deterrence theory, using a multidisciplinary approach to look for evidence of its validity. The contributors aim to understand the conditions under which a strong threat of
Theories of War in an Era of Leading-Power Peace Presidential Address, American Political Science Association, 2001
  • R. Jervis
  • Political Science
    American Political Science Review
  • 2002
The motor of international politics has been war among the leading states. The most developed states in the international system—the United States, Western Europe, and Japan—form what Karl Deutsch
Democracy and Preventive War: Israel and the 1956 Sinai Campaign
NE OF THE questions that has attracted the most attention in the international relations literature during the last decade is whether the foreign policy behavior of democratic states differs from
What Hitler Knew: The Battle for Information in Nazi Foreign Policy
"What Hitler Knew" is a study of how the climate of fear in Nazi Germany affected Hitler's advisers and shaped the decision making process. It explores the key foreign policy decisions from the Nazi
...
1
2
3
4
5
...