The Causes and Outcomes of Coup during Civil War

@article{Bell2017TheCA,
  title={The Causes and Outcomes of Coup during Civil War},
  author={Curtis Bell and Jun Koga Sudduth},
  journal={Journal of Conflict Resolution},
  year={2017},
  volume={61},
  pages={1432 - 1455}
}
Though approximately one in four coup attempts takes place during an ongoing civil war, scholars have not yet analyzed how the incidence of civil war affects coup attempts and outcomes. We conduct the first empirical analysis of the relationship between ongoing civil war and coup activity, finding (1) war increases the risk of a coup attempt, though (2) war-time coup attempts are significantly less likely to be successful, and (3) the risk of war-time coup is much higher when states face… 

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