The Arab spring logic of the Ukrainian revolution

  title={The Arab spring logic of the Ukrainian revolution},
  author={Dmitry Dagaev and Natalia Lamberova and Anton Sobolev},
Motivated by the unusual patterns and dyn amics of the Arab Spring, we construct a model explaining the vulnerability of the newly establish ed incumbent to popular unrest. Using this model fo r the case of similar protests in Ukraine, we find that t he current combination of availability of informati on, military capacity of the incumbent and his radicali z tion, together with the opportunity costs of participation in a protest, are likely to result in the formation of new government that is… CONTINUE READING