The “ 55 M End-User Programmers ” Estimate Revisited

  title={The “ 55 M End-User Programmers ” Estimate Revisited},
  author={Christopher Scaffidi},
In 1995, Boehm predicted that by 2005, there would be “55 million performers” of “end-user programming” in the United States. Examining the original context and method which generated this number reveals that it actually estimates the number of computer users in businesses—not programmers, per se—and it assumes constant computer usage rates. This paper extends Boehm’s estimate using fresh Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data, including the latest BLS occupational projections (which are for… CONTINUE READING
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