Temporal network structures controlling disease spreading.
@article{Holme2016TemporalNS, title={Temporal network structures controlling disease spreading.}, author={Petter Holme}, journal={Physical review. E}, year={2016}, volume={94 2-1}, pages={ 022305 } }
We investigate disease spreading on eight empirical data sets of human contacts (mostly proximity networks recording who is close to whom, at what time). We compare three levels of representations of these data sets: temporal networks, static networks, and a fully connected topology. We notice that the difference between the static and fully connected networks-with respect to time to extinction and average outbreak size-is smaller than between the temporal and static topologies. This suggests…
Figures and Tables from this paper
46 Citations
Probing empirical contact networks by simulation of spreading dynamics
- Computer Science
- 2018
This chapter will summarize the recent literature using simulation of spreading processes on top of empirical contact data, mostly focus on disease simulations on temporal proximity networks—networks recording who is close to whom, at what time—but also cover other types of networks and spreading processes.
Mapping temporal-network percolation to weighted, static event graphs
- Computer ScienceScientific Reports
- 2018
The dynamics of diffusion-like processes on temporal networks are influenced by correlations in the times of contacts. This influence is particularly strong for processes where the spreading agent…
Dynamics of new strain emergence on a temporal network.
- Medicine
- 2018
It is found that strong variations in activity volume cause the probability that the emerging strain replaces the endemic one to be highly sensitive to the time of emergence, and contributes towards the description of the complex interplay between competing pathogens on temporal networks.
Epidemic Thresholds of Infectious Diseases on Tie-Decay Networks
- Computer ScienceJ. Complex Networks
- 2021
This work encodes the continuous dependency of time into the evaluation of the epidemic threshold of an susceptible--infected--susceptible (SIS) process by studying an SIS model on tie-decay networks and demonstrates how the tie- decay features of these networks alter the outcome of disease spread.
Optimal timescale of community detection in growing networks
- Computer ScienceNew Journal of Physics
- 2019
This work uses a multi-layer quality function to show that the observation timescale that leads to optimal communities is tightly related to the system's intrinsic aging timescale, that can be inferred from the time-stamped network data.
Impact of misinformation in temporal network epidemiology
- Computer ScienceNetwork Science
- 2019
It is found that for both spreading scenarios, the maximal misprediction of both the outbreak size and time to extinction follows an stretched exponential convergence as a function of the error frequency.
Concurrency measures in the era of temporal network epidemiology: a review
- Computer ScienceJournal of the Royal Society Interface
- 2021
Today, much of theoretical epidemiology uses more direct models of contact patterns, and there is an emerging body of literature trying to connect methods to the concurrency literature, which is covered in this review.
Hyperbolic mapping of human proximity networks
- Computer ScienceScientific reports
- 2020
This work produces hyperbolic maps of six different real systems, and shows that the maps can be used to identify communities, facilitate efficient greedy routing on the temporal network, and predict future links with significant precision.
Interactions Between Social Structure, Contact Networks, and Infectious Disease Spread in Wildlife Populations
- Computer Science
- 2017
This dissertation addresses three specific challenges to answer three specific questions: does social structure mitigate the risk of disease transmission, can unique social network structures associated with different social systems predict their disease outcomes, and can empirical networks be utilized to infer transmission pathways of infectious diseases.
References
SHOWING 1-10 OF 29 REFERENCES
Epidemiologically Optimal Static Networks from Temporal Network Data
- Computer SciencePLoS Comput. Biol.
- 2013
This paper investigates conceptually simple methods to construct static graphs for network epidemiology from temporal contact data, and evaluates these methods on empirical and synthetic model data.
Birth and death of links control disease spreading in empirical contact networks
- MathematicsScientific reports
- 2014
It is found that the birth and death of links, and the total number of contacts over a link, are essential to predict outbreaks, while the exact times of contacts between the beginning and end, or the interevent interval distribution, do not matter much.
Information content of contact-pattern representations and predictability of epidemic outbreaks
- Computer ScienceScientific reports
- 2015
This paper studies both outbreak sizes from unknown sources, and from known states of ongoing outbreaks, using empirical proximity data to investigate the effect of successive inclusions of more information in the temporal network structure of the data sets.
Predicting and controlling infectious disease epidemics using temporal networks
- Computer ScienceF1000prime reports
- 2013
This work reviews recent results of network epidemiology for such temporal network data with time stamps, and calls for extended analysis tools for network Epidemiology, which has, to date, mostly viewed networks as static entities.
Networks and epidemic models
- Computer ScienceJournal of The Royal Society Interface
- 2005
A variety of methods are described that allow the mixing network, or an approximation to the network, to be ascertained and how the two fields of network theory and epidemiological modelling can deliver an improved understanding of disease dynamics and better public health through effective disease control are suggested.
Extinction Times of Epidemic Outbreaks in Networks
- EconomicsPloS one
- 2013
This work characterize how the maximal extinction time in SIR simulations on networks depend on the network structure, and finds that the average distances in isolated components, weighted by the component size, is a good predictor of the maximal time to extinction.
Modern temporal network theory: a colloquium
- Computer ScienceArXiv
- 2015
This colloquium reviews the methods to analyze and model temporal networks and processes taking place on them, focusing mainly on the last three years, which includes the spreading of infectious disease, opinions, rumors, in social networks; information packets in computer networks; various types of signaling in biology, and more.
Spreading dynamics following bursty human activity patterns.
- PhysicsPhysical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics
- 2011
The susceptible-infected model with power-law waiting time distributions P(τ)~τ^{-α), as a model of spreading dynamics under heterogeneous human activity patterns, is studied to unify individual activity patterns with macroscopic collective dynamics at the network level.
Epidemic spreading in scale-free networks.
- Computer SciencePhysical review letters
- 2001
A dynamical model for the spreading of infections on scale-free networks is defined, finding the absence of an epidemic threshold and its associated critical behavior and this new epidemiological framework rationalizes data of computer viruses and could help in the understanding of other spreading phenomena on communication and social networks.