Temperature dependence of COVID-19 transmission

@article{Notari2020TemperatureDO,
  title={Temperature dependence of COVID-19 transmission},
  author={Alessio Notari},
  journal={medRxiv},
  year={2020}
}
  • Alessio Notari
  • Published 2020
  • Medicine, Mathematics, Biology, Physics
  • medRxiv
  • The recent coronavirus pandemic follows in its early stages an almost exponential expansion, with the number of cases N reasonably well fit by N eαt, in many countries. We analyze the rate α in different countries, choosing as a starting point in each country the first day with 30 cases and fitting for the following 12 days, capturing thus the early exponential growth in a rather homogeneous way. We look for a link between the rate α and the average temperature T of each country, in the month… CONTINUE READING

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    In practice we choose, as the first day, the one in which the number of cases Ni is closest to 30. In some countries, such a number Ni is repeated for several days

    Japan we considered an interpolating function of the temperature for the months of January, February and March and we took an average of such function in the relevant 12 days of the epidemic

    • For China, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan Iran