Tea Leaf Elections: Inferring Purpose for Authoritarian Elections from Postelection Responses to Defeats

@article{Trinh2022TeaLE,
  title={Tea Leaf Elections: Inferring Purpose for Authoritarian Elections from Postelection Responses to Defeats},
  author={Minh Trinh},
  journal={The Journal of Politics},
  year={2022},
  volume={84},
  pages={2140 - 2155}
}
  • Minh Trinh
  • Published 14 April 2022
  • Political Science
  • The Journal of Politics
The power of authoritarian elections is not unlimited. When using elections as a source of information, authoritarian regimes may not be able to collect from a single election all the information it could theoretically provide, and so they must commit to seeking only some specific signal(s) in each election. It is possible to identify the type of information each regime seeks from its elections by studying its reactions to small but unexpected defeats. Applying this logic to Vietnam, I find… 

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