Tail decay for the distribution of the endpoint of a directed polymer

@article{Bothner2012TailDF,
  title={Tail decay for the distribution of the endpoint of a directed polymer},
  author={Thomas Bothner and Karl Liechty},
  journal={arXiv: Mathematical Physics},
  year={2012}
}
We obtain an asymptotic expansion for the tails of the random variable $\tcal=\arg\max_{u\in\mathbb{R}}(\mathcal{A}_2(u)-u^2)$ where $\mathcal{A}_2$ is the Airy$_2$ process. Using the formula of Schehr \cite{Sch} that connects the density function of $\tcal$ to the Hastings-McLeod solution of the second Painlev\'e equation, we prove that as $t\rightarrow\infty$, $\mathbb{P}(|\tcal|>t)=Ce^{-4/3\varphi(t)}t^{-145/32}(1+O(t^{-3/4}))$, where $\varphi(t)=t^3-2t^{3/2}+3t^{3/4}$, and the constant $C… 

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