Tackling uncertainty in multi-criteria decision analysis - An application to water supply infrastructure planning

@article{Scholten2015TacklingUI,
  title={Tackling uncertainty in multi-criteria decision analysis - An application to water supply infrastructure planning},
  author={Lisa Scholten and Nele Schuwirth and Peter Reichert and Judit Lienert},
  journal={Eur. J. Oper. Res.},
  year={2015},
  volume={242},
  pages={243-260}
}
We present a novel approach for practically tackling uncertainty in preference elicitation and predictive modeling to support complex multi-criteria decisions based on multi-attribute utility theory (MAUT). A simplified two-step elicitation procedure consisting of an online survey and face-to-face interviews is followed by an extensive uncertainty analysis. This covers uncertainty of the preference components (marginal value and utility functions, hierarchical aggregation functions, aggregation… 
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