Superexponential long-term trends in information technology

@inproceedings{Nagy2011SuperexponentialLT,
  title={Superexponential long-term trends in information technology},
  author={B{\'e}la Nagy and J. Doyne Farmer and Jessika E. Trancik and John Paul Gonzales},
  year={2011}
}

• Béla Nagy, J. Doyne Farmer, +1 author John Paul Gonzales
• Published 2011
• DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.006

Moore’s Law has created a popular perception of exponential progress in information technology. But is the progress of IT really exponential? In this paper we examine long time series of data documenting progress in information technology gathered by Koh and Magee (2006). We analyze six different historical trends of progress for several technologies grouped into the following three functional tasks: information storage, information transportation (bandwidth), and information transformation… CONTINUE READING

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