Structural Bayesian Models of Conditionals

  title={Structural Bayesian Models of Conditionals},
  author={Momme von Sydow and momme. von-sydow},
In the past decade the traditional falsificationist view of hypothesis-testing tasks, such as Wason’s selection task, has become criticized from a Bayesian perspective. In this report a normative extension of Oaksford’s and Chater’s (1994, 1998) influential Bayesian theory is proposed, that not only takes quantitative but also qualitative (structural) knowledge into account. In an experiment it is shown that humans appear to be sensitive to both the quantitative and the qualitative… CONTINUE READING

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