Statistical tests for evaluating earthquake prediction methods

@article{Riedel1996StatisticalTF,
  title={Statistical tests for evaluating earthquake prediction methods},
  author={Kurt S. Riedel},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  year={1996},
  volume={23},
  pages={1407-1409}
}
  • K. Riedel
  • Published 27 May 1996
  • Geology
  • Geophysical Research Letters
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SUMMARY All predictions of the future can be to some extent successful by chance. This is a crucial issue mostly overlooked in assessing the validity of earthquake precursors. We analyse

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A three year continuous sample of earthquake predictions based on the observation of Seismic Electric Signals in Greece was published by Varotsos and Lazaridou [1991]. Four independent studies

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The paper by Mulargia & Gasperini (1992) concluded that ‘the apparent success of VAN predictions can be confidently ascribed to chance’. This conclusion contradicts our earlier publication and hence

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Seismic electric currents

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