Statistical simulations of the future 50-year statistics of cold-tongue El Niño and warm-pool El Niño

  title={Statistical simulations of the future 50-year statistics of cold-tongue El Ni{\~n}o and warm-pool El Ni{\~n}o},
  author={H. Na and Bong-Geun Jang and W. Choi and Kwang-Yul Kim},
  journal={Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences},
Recent extensive studies have suggested that the occurrence of warm-pool El Niño has increased since the late 1970s and will increase in future climate. Occurrence frequencies of cold-tongue and warm-pool El Niño have been investigated in the observational record (1980–2006) and in the future 50 years (2007–2056) based on 100 synthetic SST datasets with estimates of statistical confidence. In the observational record, 80% of the warm-pool El Niño occurred since 1980 over a period of 27 years… Expand
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