Statistical simulations of the future 50-year statistics of cold-tongue El Niño and warm-pool El Niño

  title={Statistical simulations of the future 50-year statistics of cold-tongue El Ni{\~n}o and warm-pool El Ni{\~n}o},
  author={Hanna Na and Bong-Geun Jang and Wonkeun Choi and kwang-yul kim},
  journal={Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences},
Recent extensive studies have suggested that the occurrence of warm-pool El Niño has increased since the late 1970s and will increase in future climate. Occurrence frequencies of cold-tongue and warm-pool El Niño have been investigated in the observational record (1980–2006) and in the future 50 years (2007–2056) based on 100 synthetic SST datasets with estimates of statistical confidence. In the observational record, 80% of the warm-pool El Niño occurred since 1980 over a period of 27 years… 

Cold Tongue and Warm Pool ENSO Events in CMIP5: Mean State and Future Projections

AbstractThe representation of the El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) under historical forcing and future projections is analyzed in 34 models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5

Emergent Constraint on the Frequency of Central Pacific El Niño Under Global Warming by the Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue Bias in CMIP5/6 Models

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Statistical evidence for the natural variation of the central Pacific El Niño

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Higher frequency of Central Pacific El Niño events in recent decades relative to past centuries

El Niño events differ substantially in their spatial pattern and intensity. Canonical Eastern Pacific El Niño events have sea surface temperature anomalies that are strongest in the far eastern

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El Niño Modoki can be mostly predicted more than 10 years ahead of time

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Warm Pool and Cold Tongue El Nino Events as Simulated by the GFDL 2.1 Coupled GCM

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Abstract The relationship between variations of Indo-Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and Australian springtime rainfall over the last 30 years is investigated with a focus on predictability

Increasing intensity of El Niño in the central‐equatorial Pacific

Satellite observations suggest that the intensity of El Niño events in the central equatorial Pacific (CP) has almost doubled in the past three decades, with the strongest warming occurring in

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[1] Using observed data sets mainly for the period 1979–2005, we find that anomalous warming events different from conventional El Nino events occur in the central equatorial Pacific. This unique

Interdecadal Modulation of the Impact of ENSO on Precipitation and Temperature over the United States

  • K. Mo
  • Environmental Science
  • 2010
Abstract Data from observations and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) twentieth-century climate change model [phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3)]

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The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a naturally occurring fluctuation that originates in the tropical Pacific region and affects ecosystems, agriculture, freshwater supplies, hurricanes and

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Two distinctly different forms of tropical Pacific Ocean warming are shown to have substantially different impacts on the frequency and tracks of North Atlantic tropical cyclones, potentially increasing the predictability of cyclones on seasonal time scales.