Spatial spread of COVID-19 outbreak in Italy using multiscale kinetic transport equations with uncertainty

  title={Spatial spread of COVID-19 outbreak in Italy using multiscale kinetic transport equations with uncertainty},
  author={Giulia Bertaglia and Walter Boscheri and G. Dimarco and L. Pareschi},
  journal={Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE},
  volume={18 5},
In this paper we introduce a space-dependent multiscale model to describe the spatial spread of an infectious disease under uncertain data with particular interest in simulating the onset of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy. While virus transmission is ruled by a SEIAR type compartmental model, within our approach the population is given by a sum of commuters moving on a extra-urban scale and non commuters interacting only on the smaller urban scale. A transport dynamics of the commuter… Expand
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