Some Considerations on Conditional Chances

@inproceedings{Humphreys2004SomeCO,
  title={Some Considerations on Conditional Chances},
  author={Paul Humphreys},
  year={2004}
}
Four interpretations of single-case conditional propensities are described and it is shown that for each a version of what has been called ‘Humphreys’ Paradox’ remains, despite the clarifying work of Gillies, McCurdy and Miller. This entails that propensities cannot be a satisfactory interpretation of standard probability theory. 

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Propensities May Satisfy Bayes’ Theorem

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