Solar Cycle Prediction

@article{Petrovay2010SolarCP,
  title={Solar Cycle Prediction},
  author={Krist{\'o}f Petrovay},
  journal={Living Reviews in Solar Physics},
  year={2010},
  volume={7}
}
  • K. Petrovay
  • Published 26 December 2010
  • Physics
  • Living Reviews in Solar Physics
A review of solar cycle prediction methods and their performance is given, including forecasts for cycle 24. The review focuses on those aspects of the solar cycle prediction problem that have a bearing on dynamo theory. The scope of the review is further restricted to the issue of predicting the amplitude (and optionally the epoch) of an upcoming solar maximum no later than right after the start of the given cycle.Prediction methods form three main groups. Precursor methods rely on the value… 
Solar cycle prediction
A review of solar cycle prediction methods and their performance is given, including early forecasts for Cycle 25. The review focuses on those aspects of the solar cycle prediction problem that have
A Dynamo-Based Prediction of Solar Cycle 25
Solar activity cycle varies in amplitude. The last Cycle 24 is the weakest in the past century. Sun’s activity dominates Earth’s space environment. The frequency and intensity of the Sun’s activity
Predictability of the Solar Cycle Over One Cycle
The prediction of the strength of future solar cycles is of interest because of its practical significance for space weather and as a test of our theoretical understanding of the solar cycle. The
Prediction of the total cycle 24 of solar activity by several autoregressive methods and by the precursor method
As follows from the statement of the Third Official Solar Cycle 24 Prediction Panel created by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Lessons learned from predictions of Solar Cycle 24
  • W. Pesnell
  • Physics
    Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate
  • 2020
Solar Cycle 24 has almost faded and the activity of Solar Cycle 25 is appearing. We have learned much about predicting solar activity in Solar Cycle 24, especially with the data provided by SDO and
A prediction for the 25th solar cycle maximum amplitude
Funding Information Croatian Science Foundation, 7549. Austrian-Croatian Bilateral Scientific Project, The minimum maximum method, belonging to the precursor class of the solar activity forecasting
Introduction to the Solar Activity Cycle: Overview of Causes and Consequences
The 11-year activity cycle is a dominant characteristic of the Sun. It is the result of the evolution in time the solar dynamo that generates the solar magnetic field. The nearly periodic variation
Nonlinear Prediction of Solar Cycle 25
  • V. Sarp, A. Kilcik
  • Physics, Engineering
    Proceedings of the International Astronomical Union
  • 2018
Abstract Solar activity is a chaotic process and there are various approximations to forecast its long term and short term variations. But there is no prediction method that predicts the solar
Solar cycle characteristics and their application in the prediction of cycle 25
A Dynamo-based Forecast of Solar Cycle 25
We present a data-driven version of the solar cycle model of Lemerle and Charbonneau (Astrophys. J.834, 133; 2017), which we use to forecast properties of the upcoming sunspot Cycle 25. The two free
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