Short- and long-term impact of remarkable economic events on the growth causes of China-Germany trade in agri-food products

@inproceedings{Guo2011ShortAL,
  title={Short- and long-term impact of remarkable economic events on the growth causes of China-Germany trade in agri-food products},
  author={Zhichao Guo and Yuanhua Feng and Xiangyong Tan},
  year={2011}
}
This paper focuses on a systematic quantitative discussion of the shortand long-term impact of remarkable economic events on international trade in a two-stage framework. Firstly, procedures based on dummy variables are proposed to detect structural breaks, types and sizes of jumps caused by such events. Then we propose to apply a hierarchical CMS (Constant Market Share) model to all sub-periods defined by the detected change points to study the shortand long-term impact of those events on… CONTINUE READING
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