Shift-Share Designs: Theory and Inference

@inproceedings{Ado2018ShiftShareDT,
  title={Shift-Share Designs: Theory and Inference},
  author={Rodrigo de Souza Ad{\~a}o and Michal Koles'ar and Eduardo Morales},
  year={2018}
}
We study inference in shift-share regression designs, such as when a regional outcome is regressed on a weighted average of observed sectoral shocks, using regional sector shares as weights. We conduct a placebo exercise in which we estimate the effect of a shift-share regressor constructed with randomly generated sectoral shocks on actual labor market outcomes across U.S. Commuting Zones. Tests based on commonly used standard errors with 5% nominal significance level reject the null of no… CONTINUE READING
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