Seven deadly sins of contemporary quantitative political analysis

  title={Seven deadly sins of contemporary quantitative political analysis},
  author={Philip A. Schrodt},
  journal={Journal of Peace Research},
  pages={287 - 300}
A combination of technological change, methodological drift and a certain degree of intellectual sloth, particularly with respect to philosophy of science, has allowed contemporary quantitative political analysis to accumulate a series of dysfunctional habits that have rendered much of contemporary research more or less meaningless. I identify these ‘seven deadly sins’ as: Garbage can models that ignore the effects of collinearity; Pre-scientific explanation in the absence of prediction… Expand
Political Realism as Anti-scholastic Practice: Methodological Lessons from Muckraking Journalism
  • J. Maloy
  • Political Science
  • Political Research Quarterly
  • 2019
What does the trend of “realism” in political theory portend, if anything, for how social and political scientists do their work? We can best see where realism’s rubber hits the road by re-examiningExpand
Measuring the Impact of Human Rights: Conceptual and Methodological Debates
Fifty years ago, the world had very few human rights laws and very little information on human rights violations. Today, the situation could not be more different. The world is awash in laws andExpand
Integrating the Quantitative Research on the Onset and Incidence of Violent Intrastate Conflicts
Quantitative research into the causes of violent intrastate conflicts has recently shifted away from classical country-year-level regression analyses. When taking steps in new directions,Expand
Leaving theory behind: Why simplistic hypothesis testing is bad for International Relations
Theory creating and hypothesis testing are both critical components of social science, but the former is ultimately more important. Yet, in recent years, International Relations scholars have devotedExpand
Do We Need a Just Economy, or Just a Good One? Inequalities, Economic Freedom and Political Repression, 1975-2015
Some argue that a “good” economy, measured as productivity-enhancing, free market policies, is better than a “just” economy for promoting social harmony. Growth is needed to increase a middle class,Expand
The opportunity cost of intrastate violence and the out-of-sample validity of commodity price shocks
  • Spencer Dorsey
  • The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology
  • 2019
Recent work in economics and political science has identified a positive correlation between commodity prices and violence—which are theoretically linked through an opportunity cost mechanism. TheExpand
Rival Visions of Parsimony
“Parsimony” is a vague and divisive concept in political science. I identify three distinct but often conflated conceptions of parsimony. The aesthetic conception emphasizes a theory's elegance andExpand
Whatever Explains Whatever: The Duhem-Quine Thesis and Conventional Quantitative Methods in Political Science
The paper (for the first time, to the best knowledge of the author) applies the Duhem-Quine thesis to conventional quantitative methods in political science. As a result, the discussion ofExpand
Why the English school needs conflict studies: Retheorising the place of war in international society
  • Nicholas Lees
  • Political Science
  • Cambridge Review of International Affairs
  • 2019
Abstract The English School tradition offers a compelling framework for understanding war as an institution within an international society constructed by states. Nonetheless, analyses of the causesExpand
Complexity, Causality, and Control in Statistical Modeling
Social scientists using statistical models and more qualitative techniques frequently employ divergent approaches to thinking about causality. Statistical methodologies tend to draw on probabilisticExpand


A Methodological Critique of a Test of the Effects of the Maharishi Technology of the Unified Field
The test of the effects of the “Maharishi Technology of the Unified Field” by Orme-Johnson et al. which appeared in the December 1988 issue of the Journal of Conflict Resolution contains severalExpand
■ Abstract The past two decades have brought revolutionary change to the field of political methodology. Steady gains in theoretical sophistication have combined with explosive increases in computingExpand
The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts
Large-n studies of conflict have produced a large number of statistically significant results but little accurate guidance in terms of anticipating the onset of conflict. The authors argue that tooExpand
Evaluating Heterodox Theories
Active and heterogeneous disciplines constantly spawn new theories and theoretical variants. By definition, each such offering is heterodox to the degree that its veracity would diminish acceptedExpand
How Not to Lie with Statistics: Avoiding Common Mistakes in Quantitative Political Science
This article identifies a set of serious theoretical mistakes appearing with troublingly high frequency throughout the quantitative political science literature. These mistakes are all based onExpand
Main trends in recent philosophy: two dogmas of empiricism.
M ODERN empiricism has been conditioned in large part by two dogmas. One is a belief in some fundamental cleavage between truths which are analytic, or grounded in meanings independently of mattersExpand
Whatever Explains Whatever: The Duhem-Quine Thesis and Conventional Quantitative Methods In Political Science
The paper (for the first time, to the best knowledge of the author) applies the Duhem-Quine thesis to conventional quantitative methods in political science. As a result, the discussion ofExpand
Case Studies and the Statistical Worldview: Review of King, Keohane, and Verba's Designing Social Inquiry: Scientific Inference in Qualitative Research
Gary King, Robert O. Keohane, and Sydney Verba's Designing Social Inquiry exploits the metaphor of researcher-as-statistician to develop guidelines for conducting social scientific research that areExpand
The Insignificance of Null Hypothesis Significance Testing
The current method of hypothesis testing in the social sciences is under intense criticism, yet most political scientists are unaware of the important issues being raised. Criticisms focus on theExpand
Assessing the Liberal Peace with Alternative Specifications: Trade Still Reduces Conflict
Some recent analyses challenge previous reports which show that economically important trade significantly reduces the probability of militarized disputes between countries. Beck et al. (1998)Expand