Serial clustering of intense European storms

@article{Vitolo2009SerialCO,
  title={Serial clustering of intense European storms},
  author={Renato Vitolo and David B. Stephenson and Ian M. Cook and Kirsten Mitchell-Wallace},
  journal={Meteorologische Zeitschrift},
  year={2009},
  volume={18},
  pages={411-424}
}
This study has investigated how the clustering of wintertime extra-tropical cyclones depends on the vorticity intensity of the cyclones, and the sampling time period over which cyclone transits are counted. Clustering is characterized by the dispersion (ratio of the variance and the mean) of the counts of eastward transits of cyclone tracks obtained by objective tracking of 850 hPa vorticity features in NCEP-NCAR reanalyses. The counts are aggregated over non-overlapping time periods lasting… 

Robustness of serial clustering of extratropical cyclones to the choice of tracking method

Cyclone clusters are a frequent synoptic feature in the Euro-Atlantic area. Recent studies have shown that serial clustering of cyclones generally occurs on both flanks and downstream regions of the

Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones over the North Atlantic and Europe under recent and future climate conditions

Under particular large‐scale atmospheric conditions, several windstorms may affect Europe within a short time period. The occurrence of such cyclone families leads to large socioeconomic impacts and

Large‐scale dynamics associated with clustering of extratropical cyclones affecting Western Europe

Some recent winters in Western Europe have been characterized by the occurrence of multiple extratropical cyclones following a similar path. The occurrence of such cyclone clusters leads to large

New perspectives on the collective risk of extratropical cyclones

In this study, the relationship between the frequency and intensity of extratropical cyclones over the North Atlantic is investigated. A cyclone track database of extended October–March winters was

Shorter cyclone clusters modulate changes in European wintertime precipitation extremes

Wintertime extreme precipitation from cyclone clusters, i.e. consecutive cyclones moving across the same region, can lead to flooding and devastating socio-economic impacts in Europe. Previous

Associations of atmospheric teleconnections with wintertime extratropical cyclones over East Asia and Northwest Pacific

Extratropical cyclones (ETCs) over East Asia and Northwest Pacific are identified and tracked by applying an objective algorithm to the 850-hPa relative vorticity fields from the ERA-Interim

The role of European windstorm clustering for extreme seasonal losses as determined from a high resolution climate model

Abstract. Extratropical cyclones are the most damaging natural hazard to affect western Europe. Serial clustering occurs when many intense cyclones affect one area in a period of time which can

The observed clustering of damaging extratropical cyclones in Europe

Abstract. The clustering of severe European windstorms on annual timescales has substantial impacts on the (re-)insurance industry. Our knowledge of the risk is limited by large uncertainties in

Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones: a review of where, when and why it occurs

Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones describes the passage of multiple cyclones over a fixed location within a given time period. Such periods often result in high precipitation totals and

Vb Cyclones Synchronized With the Arctic‐/North Atlantic Oscillation

This paper explores the temporal characteristics of Vb cyclone occurrence based on cyclone tracks identified at the atmospheric levels of Z700 and sea level pressure, using JRA‐55 reanalysis data for the period 1959–2015.
...

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The Claude Bernard Lecture, 1989 - Deterministic chaos: the science and the fiction

  • D. Ruelle
  • Physics
    Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. A. Mathematical and Physical Sciences
  • 1990
Under the name of chaos the mathematical ideas of differentiable dynamics have had a profound impact on physics. Some success stories are discussed. Attention is also directed to the excessive