Sequentially simulated outcomes: kind experience versus nontransparent description.

@article{Hogarth2011SequentiallySO,
  title={Sequentially simulated outcomes: kind experience versus nontransparent description.},
  author={Robin M. Hogarth and Emre Soyer},
  journal={Journal of experimental psychology. General},
  year={2011},
  volume={140 3},
  pages={434-63}
}
Recently, researchers have investigated differences in decision making based on description and experience. We address the issue of when experience-based judgments of probability are more accurate than are those based on description. If description is well understood ("transparent") and experience is misleading ("wicked"), it is preferable to experience. However, if description is not transparent, will valid ("kind") experience lead to more accurate judgments? We report 2 experiments. The first… CONTINUE READING
Highly Cited
This paper has 20 citations. REVIEW CITATIONS

From This Paper

Topics from this paper.

Citations

Publications citing this paper.
Showing 1-10 of 11 extracted citations

References

Publications referenced by this paper.
Showing 1-10 of 34 references

When experience is better than description: Time delays and complexity. Joumal of Behavioral Decision Making

  • T. Lejarraga
  • 2010
Highly Influential
7 Excerpts

Educating intuition. Chicago, IL: The University

  • R M.Hogarth.
  • 2001
Highly Influential
5 Excerpts

A.ise.ising the chances

  • Francisco, M CAJossey-Bass.Hogarth.R., K. Mukherjee, E. Soyer
  • 2011

Lottery attractiveness and presentation mode of probability and value information

  • K Fiedler., C. Unkelbach
  • Joumal of Behavioral Decision Making,
  • 2011
1 Excerpt

Econometrics and decision making: Effects of presentation mode (Working Paper No. 124)

  • E. Soyer, R. M. Hogarth
  • 2010

Exploring the conjunction fallacy within a category leaming framework

  • H. Nilsson
  • Joumal of Behavioral Decision Making
  • 2008

Similar Papers

Loading similar papers…