Second-order moment-closure for tighter epidemic thresholds

@article{Ogura2018SecondorderMF,
  title={Second-order moment-closure for tighter epidemic thresholds},
  author={Masaki Ogura and Victor M. Preciado},
  journal={ArXiv},
  year={2018},
  volume={abs/1706.08602}
}
  • Masaki Ogura, Victor M. Preciado
  • Published 2018
  • Mathematics, Computer Science, Biology
  • ArXiv
  • Abstract In this paper, we study the dynamics of contagious spreading processes taking place in complex contact networks. We specifically present a lower-bound on the decay rate of the number of nodes infected by a susceptible–infected–susceptible (SIS) stochastic spreading process. A precise quantification of this decay rate is crucial for designing efficient strategies to contain epidemic outbreaks. However, existing lower-bounds on the decay rate based on first-order mean-field… CONTINUE READING

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