Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility

  title={Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility},
  author={D. Balcan and H. Hu and B. Gonçalves and P. Bajardi and C. Poletto and J. J. Ramasco and D. Paolotti and N. Perra and M. Tizzoni and W. V. D. Broeck and V. Colizza and Alessandro Vespignani},
  journal={BMC Medicine},
  pages={45 - 45}
  • D. Balcan, H. Hu, +9 authors Alessandro Vespignani
  • Published 2009
  • Medicine, Biology, Physics
  • BMC Medicine
  • BackgroundOn 11 June the World Health Organization officially raised the phase of pandemic alert (with regard to the new H1N1 influenza strain) to level 6. As of 19 July, 137,232 cases of the H1N1 influenza strain have been officially confirmed in 142 different countries, and the pandemic unfolding in the Southern hemisphere is now under scrutiny to gain insights about the next winter wave in the Northern hemisphere. A major challenge is pre-empted by the need to estimate the transmission… CONTINUE READING
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