Seasonal Prediction of North Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy and Major Hurricane Activity

  title={Seasonal Prediction of North Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy and Major Hurricane Activity},
  author={Kyle Davis and Xubin Zeng},
  journal={Weather and Forecasting},
  • K. Davis, X. Zeng
  • Published 1 February 2019
  • Environmental Science
  • Weather and Forecasting
Building upon our previous seasonal hurricane prediction model, here we develop two statistical models to predict the number of major hurricanes (MHs) and accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) in the North Atlantic basin using monthly data from March to May for an early June forecast. The input data include zonal pseudo–wind stress to the 3/2 power, sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic, and, depending on the magnitude of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation index, the multivariate ENSO… 
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