• Corpus ID: 238531710

Seasonal Predictability of Lightning over the Global Hotspot Regions

  title={Seasonal Predictability of Lightning over the Global Hotspot Regions},
  author={Chandrima Mallick and Anupam Hazra and Subodh K. Saha and Hemantkumar S. Chaudhari and Samir Pokhrel and Mahen Konwar and Ushnanshu Dutta and Greeshma M. Mohan and Kodela Vani},
Skillful seasonal prediction of lightning is crucial over several global hotspot regions, as it causes severe damages to infrastructures and losses of human life. While major emphasis has been given for predicting rainfall, prediction of lightning in one season advance remained uncommon, owing to the nature of the problem, which is short-lived local phenomenon. Here we show that on the seasonal time scale, lightning over the major global hot-spot regions is strongly tied with slowly varying… 

Figures from this paper


Seasonal prediction of lightning activity in North Western Venezuela: Large-scale versus local drivers
Abstract The Lake Maracaibo Basin in North Western Venezuela has the highest annual lightning rate of any place in the world (~ 200 fl km − 2  yr − 1 ), whose electrical discharges occasionally
Seasonal forecasting of lightning and thunderstorm activity in tropical and temperate regions of the world
  • A. Dowdy
  • Environmental Science, Medicine
    Scientific reports
  • 2016
Variations in atmospheric parameters commonly associated with thunderstorm activity are found to provide a plausible physical explanation for the variations in lightning activity associated with El Niño/Southern Oscillation.
Seasonal variation of lightning activity over the Indian subcontinent
The seasonal variation of lightning flash activity over the Indian subcontinent (0°N–35°N and 60°E–100°E) is studied using the quality checked monthly lightning flash data obtained from lightning
Spatio-temporal variability of lightning activity over the Indian region
[1] Spatio-temporal variability of lightning activity over the Indian land mass region (8°N–33°N, 73°E–86°E) has been studied using monthly satellite based lightning flash grid (5° × 5°) data for
Variability of lightning activity over India on ENSO time scales
Abstract ENSO, the reliable indicator of inter-annual climate variation of the ocean-atmosphere system in the tropical Pacific region, can affect the overall lightning activity which is another
Variability in lightning hazard over Indian region with respect to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases
Abstract. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) modulates the lightning flash density (LFD) variability over India during premonsoon, monsoon and postmonsoon seasons. This study intends to shed
Unraveling the Mystery of Indian Summer Monsoon Prediction: Improved Estimate of Predictability Limit
Large socio-economic impact of the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) extremes motivated numerous attempts at its long range prediction over the past century. However, a rather estimated low potential
Evaluating different lightning parameterization schemes to simulate lightning flash counts over Maharashtra, India
Abstract Thunderstorms source of lightning discharge is a major hazard to humans. In India, the loss of human life due to thunderstorms is high because of frequent lightning during pre-monsoon season
Indian monsoon derailed by a North Atlantic wavetrain
It is found that the interaction of upper-level winds with an episodic North Atlantic vorticity anomaly results in a wavetrain that curves toward East Asia, disrupting the monsoon, and offers an avenue for improved predictability of droughts, especially in the absence of telltale signatures in the Pacific.
Global lightning activity from the ENSO perspective
[1] The recently reprocessed (1998–2006) OTD/LIS space-based lightning database is used to investigate the global lightning climatology in response to the ENSO cycle. Temporal correlation maps