Corpus ID: 215548632

Scenario analysis of non-pharmaceutical interventions on global COVID-19 transmissions

@article{Chen2020ScenarioAO,
  title={Scenario analysis of non-pharmaceutical interventions on global COVID-19 transmissions},
  author={X. Chen and Ziyi Qiu},
  journal={arXiv: Populations and Evolution},
  year={2020}
}
  • X. Chen, Ziyi Qiu
  • Published 2020
  • Biology, Physics, Mathematics
  • arXiv: Populations and Evolution
  • This paper introduces a dynamic panel SIR (DP-SIR) model to investigate the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on the COVID-19 transmission dynamics with panel data from 9 countries across the globe. By constructing scenarios with different combinations of NPIs, our empirical findings suggest that countries may avoid the lockdown policy with imposing school closure, mask wearing and centralized quarantine to reach similar outcomes on controlling the COVID-19 infection. Our… CONTINUE READING
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