Road Expansion, Urban Growth, and Induced Travel: A Path Analysis

@article{Cervero2001RoadEU,
  title={Road Expansion, Urban Growth, and Induced Travel: A Path Analysis},
  author={Robert Cervero},
  journal={Journal of the American Planning Association},
  year={2001},
  volume={69},
  pages={145 - 163}
}
  • R. Cervero
  • Published 1 July 2001
  • Economics
  • Journal of the American Planning Association
Abstract Claims that roadway investments spur new travel, known as induced demand, and thus fail to relieve traffic congestion have thwarted road development in the United States. Past studies point to a significant induced demand effect. This research employs a path model to causally sort out the links between freeway investments and traffic increases, using data for 24 California freeway projects across 15 years. Traffic increases are explained in terms of both faster travel speeds and land… 
Effects of Road Investments on Economic Output and Induced Travel Demand
The objective of this study is to analyze the effects of road transportation investment on economic output and induced travel demand. Data for U.S. urbanized areas are analyzed within a dynamic panel
NEW HIGHWAYS, URBAN DEVELOPMENT, AND INDUCED TRAVEL
We examine the link between highways and urban development by employing both hedonic analysis and multiple sales techniques to study the impact of the construction of toll roads in Orange County,
Induced Vehicle Travel in the Environmental Review Process
If we expand roadway capacity, more drivers will come, or so economic theory suggests and a substantial body of empirical research now shows. Despite strong evidence, the “induced travel” effect is
Generated Traffic and Induced Travel Implications for Transport Planning
Traffic congestion tends to maintain equilibrium. Congestion reaches a point at which it constrains further growth in peak-period trips. If road capacity increases, the number of peak-period trips
Induced Demand: New Empirical Findings and Consequences for Economic Evaluation
New transport infrastructure, such as additional lanes, is often found to coincide with an increase in traffic volume. In the literature the concept of ‘induced demand’ or ‘induced traffic’ is often
Generated Traffic and Induced Travel
Traffic congestion tends to maintain equilibrium. Congestion reaches a point at which it constrains further growth in peak-period trips. If road capacity increases, the number of peak-period trips
Art Induced-Travel Studies Inducing Bad Investments?
In a 1995 Access article, Mark Hansen drew upon 18 years of data to show that, in California metropolitan areas, every 10 percent increase in road capacity brings about a nine percent increase in
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We examine the link between highways and urban development by employing both hedonic analysis and multiple sales techniques to study the impact of the construction of toll roads in Orange County,
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Abstract We examine the link between highways and urban development by employing both hedonic analysis and multiple sales techniques to study the impact of the construction of toll roads in Orange
Induced Travel Demand and Induced Road Investment: A Simultaneous Equation Analysis
This paper presents simultaneous models that predict induced travel demand and induced road investment using an array of instrument variables reflecting political, environmental, and demographic
Estimating induced travel for evaluation of metropolitan highway expansion
This paper demonstrates how induced travel can be estimated for incorporation into the evaluation process for highway expansion projects, at a sketch planning level of analysis. The approach is
INDUCED HIGHWAY TRAVEL: TRANSPORTATION POLICY IMPLICATIONS FOR CONGESTED METROPOLITAN AREAS
Certain perceptions about the impacts of induced highway travel prevail among some metropolitan transportation stakeholders and are as follows: 1) new personal highway travel induced by highway
Highway capacity and induced travel: issues, evidence and implications
This paper objectively addresses the induced travel issue by answering the following questions: First, if new highway capacity does indeed "induce" new travel, to what extent compared to other
Induced Traffic and Induced Demand
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The model employs this definition to evaluate highway improvement projects using benefit-cost analysis, incorporating effects of short-run traffic volume on changes in the generalized price, as well as effects of long-run land use and other economic feedback.
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A research study was conducted to evaluate and quantify the effect of highway capacity improvements on travel demand. Statistical models using Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey data were
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In this paper we estimate the relationship between road capacity and vehicle miles of travel (VMT) from a sample of 12,000 respondents from 48 urban areas in the 1995 Nationwide Personal
Analysis of Metropolitan Highway Capacity and the growth in vehicle miles of travel
A number of recent studies have examined the hypothesis of induced travel in an attempt to quantify the phenomenon (Hansen & Huang 1997; Noland, forthcoming). No study has yet attempted to adjust for
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