Risk of extinction and categories of endangerment: perspectives from long-lived reptiles

  title={Risk of extinction and categories of endangerment: perspectives from long-lived reptiles},
  author={Grahame J. W. Webb and E. Carrillo C.},
  journal={Population Ecology},
Abstract The IUCN Red List of Threatened Animals is an important conservation tool, but the accuracy of predictions about risks of global extinction within 10 years or three generations is difficult to test objectively. In this study, we compare IUCN predictions with the results of attempts to derive realistic scenarios that could lead to the global extinction of six species of long-lived reptiles. For three species, the IUCN predictions matched real events reasonably well but still… Expand

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