Rethinking Earthquake Prediction

  title={Rethinking Earthquake Prediction},
  author={Lynn R. Sykes and Bruce E Shaw and Christopher H. Scholz},
  journal={pure and applied geophysics},
Abstract—We re-examine and summarize what is now possible in predicting earthquakes, what might be accomplished (and hence might be possible in the next few decades) and what types of predictions appear to be inherently impossible based on our understanding of earthquakes as complex phenomena. We take predictions to involve a variety of time scales from seconds to a few decades. Earthquake warnings and their possible societal uses differ for those time scales. Earthquake prediction should not… Expand

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