Residual analysis methods for space--time point processes with applications to earthquake forecast models in California

  title={Residual analysis methods for space--time point processes with applications to earthquake forecast models in California},
  author={Robert Alan Clements and Frederic Paik Schoenberg and Danijel Schorlemmer},
  journal={arXiv: Applications},
Modern, powerful techniques for the residual analysis of spatial-temporal point process models are reviewed and compared. These methods are applied to California earthquake forecast models used in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). Assessments of these earthquake forecasting models have previously been performed using simple, low-power means such as the L-test and N-test. We instead propose residual methods based on rescaling, thinning, superposition, weighted… 

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