Reliability Trends of the Global Forecast System Model Output Statistical Guidance in the Northeastern Us: a Statistical Analysis with Operational Forecasting Applications

Global Forecast System (GFS) Model Output Statistical (MOS) Guidance Probability of Precipitation (PoP) bias is examined for the northeastern United States, New England and Burlington, VT. Clear and distinct trends are identified in the data sets, with a mean positive bias noted across lower PoP categories (#40%), and a mean negative bias across higher PoP… (More)