Corpus ID: 218889379

Regional analysis of COVID-19 in France from fit of hospital data with different evolutionary models.

@article{Mamon2020RegionalAO,
  title={Regional analysis of COVID-19 in France from fit of hospital data with different evolutionary models.},
  author={G. Mamon},
  journal={arXiv: Populations and Evolution},
  year={2020}
}
  • G. Mamon
  • Published 2020
  • Biology
  • arXiv: Populations and Evolution
  • The SIR evolutionary model predicts too sharp a decrease of the fractions of people infected with COVID-19 in France after the start of the national lockdown, compared to what is observed. I fit the daily hospital data: arrivals in regular and critical care units, releases and deaths, using extended SEIR models. These involve ratios of evolutionary timescales to branching fractions, assumed uniform throughout a country, and the basic reproduction number, $R_0$, before and during the national… CONTINUE READING