Quantifying the effects of dynamical noise on the predictability of a simple ecosystem model

@inproceedings{Bailey2004QuantifyingTE,
  title={Quantifying the effects of dynamical noise on the predictability of a simple ecosystem model},
  author={B. A. Bailey and Scott C Doney and I. C. da Cunha Lima},
  year={2004}
}
The need to understand the effects of anthropogenic perturbations on ocean biology has renewed interest in ecosystem and biogeochemical models in recent years. We develop a nonlinear time series approach to quantify the effects of different types of noise on ecosystem dynamics. Different types of noise can alter the local predictability of the system, induce qualitative regime shifts in model dynamics, and destroy (create) internal nonlinear oscillations and chaos. The ecosystem model we use in… CONTINUE READING

References

Publications referenced by this paper.
Showing 1-10 of 30 references

Intrinsic dynamics and stability properties of size - structured pelagic ecosystem models

  • ID Lima, DB Olson, SC Doney
  • Journal of Plankton Research
  • 2002
Highly Influential
5 Excerpts

A nitrogen-based model of plankton dynamics in the oceanic mixed layer

  • MJR Fasham, HW Ducklow, SM. McKelvie
  • Journal of Marine Research
  • 1990
Highly Influential
5 Excerpts

A method for scaling vegetation dynamics : the ecosystem demography model ( ed )

  • P Moorcroft, G Hurtt, S Pacala
  • Ecological Monographs : Princeton
  • 2001
1 Excerpt

Chaos with confidence: asymptotics and applications of local Lyapunov exponents

  • Carolina State University, Raleigh, BA NC27695–8203.Bailey, S Ellner, DW Nychka
  • Proceedings of the Fields / CRM Workshop on…
  • 1997

Chaotic behaviour of an ocean ecosystem model under seasonal external

  • E Popova, M Fasham, A Osipov, V. Ryabchenko
  • Western North Atlantic. Nature
  • 1997
2 Excerpts

Similar Papers

Loading similar papers…