Projecting the older population of the United States: lessons from the past and prospects for the future.

@article{Guralnik1988ProjectingTO,
  title={Projecting the older population of the United States: lessons from the past and prospects for the future.},
  author={Jack Guralnik and Machiko Yanagishita and Edward L. Schneider},
  journal={The Milbank quarterly},
  year={1988},
  volume={66 2},
  pages={283-308}
}
Projections of future populations are fraught with uncertainties based on past fertility and immigration trends, and assumptions about medical science and lifestyles. The U.S. Census Bureau and the Social Security Administration may be unduly cautious in their assumption that the mortality decline of the past two decades cannot continue; it may be sustained… CONTINUE READING