Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise.

@article{Edwards2021ProjectedLI,
  title={Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise.},
  author={Tamsin L Edwards and Sophie M. J. Nowicki and Ben Marzeion and Regine Hock and Heiko Goelzer and H{\'e}l{\`e}ne Seroussi and Nicolas C. Jourdain and Donald A. Slater and Fiona Turner and Christopher J. Smith and Christine M. McKenna and Erika Simon and Ayako Abe‐Ouchi and Jonathan M. Gregory and Eric Y. Larour and William H. Lipscomb and Antony J. Payne and Andrew Shepherd and C{\'e}cile Agosta and Patrick Alexander and Torsten Albrecht and Brian A. Anderson and Xylar Storm Asay-Davis and Andy Aschwanden and Alice Barthel and Andrew Bliss and Reinhard Calov and Christopher Chambers and Nicolas Champollion and Youngmin Choi and Richard I. Cullather and Joshua K. Cuzzone and Christophe Dumas and Denis Felikson and Xavier Fettweis and Koji Fujita and Benjamin Keith Galton-Fenzi and Rupert M. Gladstone and Nicholas R. Golledge and Ralf Greve and Tore Hattermann and Matthew J. Hoffman and Angelika Humbert and Matthias Huss and Philippe Huybrechts and Walter Willem Immerzeel and Thomas Kleiner and Philip D. A. Kraaijenbrink and S{\'e}bastien Le clec'h and Victoria E. Lee and Gunter R. Leguy and Christopher M. Little and Daniel P. Lowry and Jan Hendrik Malles and Daniel F. Martin and Fabien Maussion and Mathieu Morlighem and James F. O'Neill and Isabel J. Nias and Frank Pattyn and Tyler Pelle and Stephen F. Dr Price and Aur{\'e}lien Quiquet and Valentina Radic and Ronja Reese and David R. Rounce and Martin R{\"u}ckamp and Akiko Sakai and C. David Bellevue Shafer and Nicole Schlegel and Sarah Shannon and Robin S. Smith and Fiammetta Straneo and Sainan Sun and L. S. Tarasov and Luke D. Trusel and Jonas Van Breedam and Roderik S.W. van de Wal and Michiel R. van den Broeke and Ricarda Winkelmann and Harry Zekollari and Chen Zhao and Tong Zhang and Thomas Zwinger},
  journal={Nature},
  year={2021},
  volume={593 7857},
  pages={
          74-82
        }
}
The land ice contribution to global mean sea level rise has not yet been predicted1 using ice sheet and glacier models for the latest set of socio-economic scenarios, nor using coordinated exploration of uncertainties arising from the various computer models involved. Two recent international projects generated a large suite of projections using multiple models2-8, but primarily used previous-generation scenarios9 and climate models10, and could not fully explore known uncertainties. Here we… Expand
The influence of emissions scenarios on future Antarctic ice loss is unlikely to emerge this century
Of all the components of the global sea-level budget, the future contribution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet is the most uncertain in sea-level rise projections. Dynamic ice sheet model simulations showExpand
Brief communication: A roadmap towards credible projections of ice sheet contribution to sea-level
Accurately projecting mass loss from ice sheets is of critical societal importance. However, despite recent improvements in ice sheet models, our analysis of a recent effort to project Greenland’sExpand
Modelled response of debris-covered and lake-calving glaciers to climate change, Kā Tiritiri o te Moana/Southern Alps, New Zealand
Abstract Glaciers will lose mass during the next decades as the climate warms. While the largest uncertainty in this mass loss is the global greenhouse gas emissions pathway, on a local or regionalExpand
Investigating the internal structure of the Antarctic ice sheet: the utility of isochrones for spatiotemporal ice-sheet model calibration
Abstract. Ice-sheet models are a powerful tool to project the evolution of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets and thus their future contribution to global sea-level changes. Testing the abilityExpand
Investigating the internal structure of the Antarctic Ice Sheet: the utility of isochrones for spatio-temporal ice sheet model calibration
<p>Ice Sheet Models are a powerful tool to project the evolution of the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets, and thus their future contribution to global sea-level changes. Probing the fitness ofExpand
Reducing Uncertainty in 21st Century Sea-Level Predictions and Beyond
Sea-level rise is one of the most critical issues the world faces under global warming. Around 680 million people (10% of the world’s population) live in low-lying coastal regions that areExpand
Ice-shelf ocean boundary layer dynamics from large-eddy simulations
Abstract. Small scale, turbulent flow below ice shelves is regionally isolated and difficult to measure and simulate. Yet these small scale processes, which regulate heat transfer between the oceanExpand
Geodetic Mass Balance of the South Shetland Islands Ice Caps, Antarctica, from Differencing TanDEM-X DEMs
TLDR
The results are consistent with a wider scale geodetic mass balance estimation and with glaciological mass balance measurements at SSI locations for the same study period and are also consistent with the cooling trend observed in the region between 1998 and the mid-2010s. Expand
Modeling the Interconnectivity of Non-stationary Polar Ice Sheets
Understanding changes to the mass of the polar ice sheets is of crucial scientific and socioeconomic importance due to their effect on the wider Earth system and potential to contribute to future seaExpand
Stabilizing effect of mélange buttressing on the Marine Ice Cliff Instability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
Abstract. Due to global warming and particularly high regional ocean warming, both Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers in the Amundsen region of the Antarctic Ice Sheet could lose their buttressing iceExpand
...
1
2
...