Probability of Tornado Occurrence across Canada

  title={Probability of Tornado Occurrence across Canada},
  author={Vincent Cheng and George B. Arhonditsis and David M. L. Sills and Heather Auld and Mark W. Shephard and William A. Gough and Joan Klaassen},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
The number of tornado observations in Canada is believed to be significantly lower than the actual occurrences. To account for this bias, the authors propose a Bayesian modeling approach founded upon the explicit consideration of the population sampling bias in tornado observations and the predictive relationship between cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning flash climatology and tornado occurrence. The latter variable was used as an indicator for quantifying convective storm activity, which is… 

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