Probability elicitation for belief networks: issues to consider

Abstract

Upon assessing probabilities for Bayesian belief networks, the knowledge and practical experience of experts is often the only available source of probabilistic information. It is important to realise that issues concerning human capabilities with respect to making judgements come into play when relying on experts for probability elicitation. A number of… (More)
DOI: 10.1017/S0269888901000145

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