Corpus ID: 54189076

Probabilities, methodologies and the evidence base in existential risk assessments

  title={Probabilities, methodologies and the evidence base in existential risk assessments},
  author={Thomas Rowe and Simon Beard},
This paper examines and evaluates a range of methodologies that have been proposed for making useful claims about the probability of phenomena that would contribute to existential risk. Section One provides a brief discussion of the nature of such claims, the contexts in which they tend to be made and the kinds of probability that they can contain. Section Two provides an overview of the methodologies that have been developed to arrive at these probabilities and assesses their advantages and… Expand

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