• Corpus ID: 248810758

Probabilistic multivariate early warning signals

@inproceedings{Laitinen2022ProbabilisticME,
  title={Probabilistic multivariate early warning signals},
  author={Ville Laitinen and Leo Lahti},
  year={2022}
}
. A broad range of natural and social systems from human mi-crobiome to financial markets can go through critical transitions, where the system suddenly collapses to another stable configuration. Critical transitions can be unexpected, with potentially catastrophic conse-quences. Anticipating them early and accurately can facilitate controlled system manipulation and mitigation of undesired outcomes. Obtaining reliable predictions have been difficult, however, as often only a small fraction of the… 

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