Preliminary prediction of the basic reproduction number of the Wuhan novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV.

@article{Zhou2020PreliminaryPO,
  title={Preliminary prediction of the basic reproduction number of the Wuhan novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV.},
  author={Tao Zhou and Quan-hui Liu and Zimo Yang and Jingyi Liao and Kexin Yang and Wei Bai and Xiaoxuan Lu and Wei Zhang},
  journal={Journal of evidence-based medicine},
  year={2020}
}
  • Tao Zhou, Quan-hui Liu, +5 authors Wei Zhang
  • Published in
    Journal of evidence-based…
    2020
  • Biology, Medicine, Physics
  • OBJECTIVES To estimate the basic reproduction number of the Wuhan novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). METHODS Based on the susceptible-exposed-infected-removed (SEIR) compartment model and the assumption that the infectious cases with symptoms occurred before 26 January, 2020 are resulted from free propagation without intervention, we estimate the basic reproduction number of 2019-nCoV according to the reported confirmed cases and suspected cases, as well as the theoretical estimated number of… CONTINUE READING

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