Predictions for the timing and use of culling or vaccination during a foot-and-mouth disease epidemic.

@article{Hutber2006PredictionsFT,
  title={Predictions for the timing and use of culling or vaccination during a foot-and-mouth disease epidemic.},
  author={A. M. Hutber and Richard Paul Kitching and Emil Pilip{\vc}inec},
  journal={Research in veterinary science},
  year={2006},
  volume={81 1},
  pages={
          31-6
        }
}
First-fortnight incidence (FFI) is a modelling parameter that can be used to predict both the prevalence and duration of a foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) epidemic at regional and national levels. With an indication of how long an epidemic may last by the end of week two, it becomes possible to estimate whether vaccination would be economically viable from the start of an epidemic. Where FFI indicates that an epidemic is unlikely to last for as long as an export ban on agricultural produce, it may… CONTINUE READING
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